So so week 8 so let’s rebound with a strong week 9!
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The lines below are as of October 24.
Week 1: 2-2
Week 2: 3-1
Week 3: 3-1
Week 4: 1-3
Week 5: 1-3
Week 6: 4-1
Week 7: 3-2
Week 8: 2-2
Week 9: 2-3
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Week 9 Picks
Utah State (+3.5) at Air Force – Both teams have been just average against the spread but Utah State has been good overall this season with their two losses coming to Wake Forest (by 3) and then getting crushed by LSU, but who isn’t getting beat by LSU these days?
Air Force has been good, but has fallen to Boise and Navy, despite beating Colorado.
Jordan Love is a good QB despite his stats. He has thrown more picks than touchdowns, but the majority of those interceptions were against LSU/Wake.
14-9 in MWC picks in 2019
Result – Loss. Air Force ran all over Utah State, gross game.
San Jose State at Army (-9) – San Jose State has the 124th worst rush defense in football. That’s not great when playing Army. They also have to play an 11 am kick as a west coast team. The line has been bet up a little more than I would like, but I’m still leaning that way.
7-3 in last 10 home favorites picked
Result – Loss. Army lost multiple QB’s to injury, yikes.
Southern Miss (-10) at Rice – I keep thinking “THIS will be the game Rice finally wins” but then it never happens. Southern Miss isn’t dreadful, but Rice is.
The Owls haven’t won all season and the only losses Southern Miss has suffered are two SEC teams and a pretty good Louisiana Tech team. They also beat Troy and North Texas.
6-4 in last 10 C-USA picks
Result – Win. Rice is still bad.
Lock of the week
Troy (+2) at Georgia State
Troy is the underdog here as they travel to Atlanta, but I like the Trojans to win outright. I’ve done well picking the Sun Belt this year, let’s see if it keeps up!
21-5 in Sun Belt picks this season
Result – Loss. I thought Troy was in a good spot, but oh well.
Auburn (+10.5) at LSU
Auburn won’t win this game but their defense is legit and I think can slow LSU down somewhat.
Result – Win. Auburn has a championship defense, but not even close on offense.