The first college football weekend is in the books, and it’s time to turn our attention to week two where two top 25 matchups stand out above the rest.
First, we have an SEC East battle in just the second week of the season that might determine who represents in Atlanta between Georgia and South Carolina. If you check out my top 25 rankings, I agree with the pollsters on this one that Georgia is just outside the top 10 and South Carolina is just outside the top 5. This is a make or break game for both teams, especially for Georgia who is already 0-1 for the season after their loss to Clemson.
On the other hand we have the storied Michigan vs. Notre Dame rivalry. Everyone will remember that crazy back and forth ending in 2011, or last year when Michigan almost gave Notre Dame their first loss of the season. This year, the teams are both ranked in the top 20, but I am not sure this one will be close. Notre Dame has a lot to prove after last year’s embarrassing finish to Alabama, but Michigan has a lot to prove as well after a disappointing start to last season against the Tide as well.
Last week was a decent start to the season. What started with a crazy Ole Miss/Vanderbilt game, ended with Jameis Winston of Hueytown, Alabama showing that he wants to follow in Johnny Football’s footsteps and win the Heisman year one.
Even though I am not playing the lines, I do like to point whether I think teams will cover or not. Here is a look back at last week’s predictions:
In game one, I thought Ole Miss and their terrific recruiting class could cover the -3.5 point spread against Vandy. I didn’t think I’d have to hold my breath all throughout the 4th quarter to do so, but in the end, the Rebels prevailed with not only a win, but they covered by half a point. 1-0
Alabama looked sloppy on offense in their first game on the “Road to 16”, but their defense and special teams were stellar. Good enough to grab a big win and cover the 20 point line. 2-0
LSU and TCU had a hard fought game, but in the end the Mad Hatter got it done in Jerryworld. The LSU Tigers are primed to try and take away the SEC West from the Tide and the Aggies. LSU not only won, but a late touchdown helped them cover the -4.5 line. 3-0
Georgia and Clemson was the game everyone was talking about, and it was a great contest. The line sat at 1.5, so it was basically a pick’em. However, Georgia let me and the whole SEC down by pulling a Tony Romo and fumbling a snap, and losing by three. 3-1
Oklahoma State took on Mississippi State in another Big 12/SEC clash where the Cowboys were favored by 12.5 points. I thought that might be a little steep, but they covered it anyway in a 21-3 win. Dan Mullen’s time is running out, and even though the Dawgs didn’t cover, I picked the Cowboys to win anyway. 4-1
My upset pick made me upset. Washington is a good team, and I knew that, but I thought the Boise State Broncos had more in them than what they showed Saturday. To be in the top 20, and be an underdog to a mid-level Pac-12, non-ranked team seemed like a no-brainer. Lesson learned, and the Huskies are looking sharp. 4-2
So a 4-2 record on week one isn’t bad. Let’s look to go 6-0 this week as I pick five must watch games, and tell you who will be going home upset in my upset special.
Bold = Straight Up Winner
Italic = Line Winner
#11 Georgia (-3) #6 South Carolina
The game is in Athens, so that makes this one a hard game to pick. I think if this was at South Carolina, the pick would be a no-brainer, but the line is strictly a home point advantage. I’m still going to go with the Gamecocks here, and hope that Jadeveon Clowney has run a few extra sprints this week to get back into shape.
#14 Michigan (-3.5) #17 Notre Dame
I thought Notre Dame was overrated last season, and I think they are that much more overrated this season. The Wolverines are in the Big House, and I think they get it done and cover with more than a field goal victory.
#12 Florida (-3) Miami
This is a tougher pick than you would think. Florida looked anything but stellar in their opening game against Toledo where they only won 24-6. Being in Miami, I think the Hurricanes can give Florida a run for their money, but I’m still going with the SEC in this one. Hopefully the ACC doesn’t get another win here.
#15 Texas (-7) BYU
Texas looked strong in their opener and I look for them to continue the trend against BYU.
#16 Oklahoma (-20.5) West Virginia
West Virginia is not the team they once were. This match-up should be a big one with the two teams involved. I had it on my list before I looked at the line, but when I saw it, it was kind of pitiful. I’m going to give the Mountaineers the benefit of the doubt here in terms of the line, but the Sooners win this one easy.
Tennessee (-13.5) Western Kentucky
Not a lot of good match-ups this weekend to choose from when it comes to an upset special, but I narrowed it down to two. I chose Western Kentucky and Bobby Petrino to get two SEC wins in a row after beating Kentucky last week, and then Tennessee this week. I have faith in Butch Jones at Tennessee, but I’m going with Petrino here in my upset pick. My other game was Auburn vs. Arkansas State in a battle of Gus Malzahn and his former school. Auburn squeaked out a win last week against Washington State, but I’m not sold they can easily defeat Arkansas State. But I’m sticking with Petrino and WKU on this one.